#多多model#
听了个ted 随手翻了下演讲者 真是牛
2012年Julia联合创办了一个NPO:Center for Applied Rationality, 主要提供“应用合理性”方面的工作坊和培训。她帮助Facebook和Twitter等科技公司做过一些工作坊。
后来出了本书：
My path to this book began in 2009, after I quit graduate school and threw myself into a passion project that became a new career: helping people reason out tough questions in their personal and professional lives. At first, I imagined that this would involve teaching people about things like probability, logic, and cognitive biases, and showing them how those subjects applied to everyday life. But after several years of running workshops, reading studies, doing consulting, and interviewing people, I finally came to accept that knowing how to reason wasn’t the cure-all I thought it was.
Knowing that you should test your assumptions doesn’t automatically improve your judgment, any more than knowing you should exercise automatically improves your health. Being able to rattle off a list of biases and fallacies doesn’t help you unless you’re willing to acknowledge those biases and fallacies in your own thinking. The biggest lesson I learned is something that’s since been corroborated by researchers, as we’ll see in this book: our judgment isn’t limited by knowledge nearly as much as it’s limited by attitude.
牛人证明了一条公理：
人总是非理性地决策，然后理性地为自己辩解。
引用了一段话：
让人造船，最理想的方式让他对大海产生兴趣。
听了个ted 随手翻了下演讲者 真是牛
2012年Julia联合创办了一个NPO:Center for Applied Rationality, 主要提供“应用合理性”方面的工作坊和培训。她帮助Facebook和Twitter等科技公司做过一些工作坊。
后来出了本书：
My path to this book began in 2009, after I quit graduate school and threw myself into a passion project that became a new career: helping people reason out tough questions in their personal and professional lives. At first, I imagined that this would involve teaching people about things like probability, logic, and cognitive biases, and showing them how those subjects applied to everyday life. But after several years of running workshops, reading studies, doing consulting, and interviewing people, I finally came to accept that knowing how to reason wasn’t the cure-all I thought it was.
Knowing that you should test your assumptions doesn’t automatically improve your judgment, any more than knowing you should exercise automatically improves your health. Being able to rattle off a list of biases and fallacies doesn’t help you unless you’re willing to acknowledge those biases and fallacies in your own thinking. The biggest lesson I learned is something that’s since been corroborated by researchers, as we’ll see in this book: our judgment isn’t limited by knowledge nearly as much as it’s limited by attitude.
牛人证明了一条公理：
人总是非理性地决策，然后理性地为自己辩解。
引用了一段话：
让人造船，最理想的方式让他对大海产生兴趣。
#韩娱跳蚤市场[超话]# 出卡出卡 三张及以上包 走平台
有小礼物 默认为运输暇 完美主义者勿扰
吻妹 吻 KISS OF LIFE Bye My Neverland S2한쥴리 JULIE julie natty 띠야 金Natty sixteen idol schoo 심혜원 BELLE 벨 Annabelle Shim 원하늘 Haneul 女团 kissoflife 朱莉 奶提 贝儿 哈努 专辑 小卡Wendy 孙胜完 red velvet solo wolo wish you hell seventeen 崔胜澈 s.coups 崔胜哲 尹净汉 洪知秀 joshua 文俊辉 hoshi 权顺荣 全圆佑 李知勋 徐明浩 the8 金珉奎 李硕珉 夫胜宽 vernon 崔韩率 李灿 dino newjeans 鲸 Minji 敏知 金玟池 Hanni 憨妮 范玉欣 Danielle 丹尼尔 haerin 姜海粼 姜谐潾 Hyein 李惠仁 球衣粼 丸子丹 包卡 粼包卡 包卡 敏包卡 丹包卡 憨包卡金敏知 范玉欣 牟智慧丹尼尔 姜海粼 李惠仁 女团小卡 小卡 wvs 包卡蝴蝶紫衣琳耳麦牛仔团封单封蓝书 id 卡 minji 金敏知 hanni 范玉欣 danielle 丹尼尔 haerin 包卡新专 OMG 丸子丹 包卡丹
stayc 朴莳恩 illit 礼 出道专 yunah 卢玩我 minju 朴憨柱 moka 镜萌花 wonhee李沅禧 iroha 外园彩羽 礼专卡 iroha紫版专卡 礼5 紫b5 紫a5 wvs签售
有小礼物 默认为运输暇 完美主义者勿扰
吻妹 吻 KISS OF LIFE Bye My Neverland S2한쥴리 JULIE julie natty 띠야 金Natty sixteen idol schoo 심혜원 BELLE 벨 Annabelle Shim 원하늘 Haneul 女团 kissoflife 朱莉 奶提 贝儿 哈努 专辑 小卡Wendy 孙胜完 red velvet solo wolo wish you hell seventeen 崔胜澈 s.coups 崔胜哲 尹净汉 洪知秀 joshua 文俊辉 hoshi 权顺荣 全圆佑 李知勋 徐明浩 the8 金珉奎 李硕珉 夫胜宽 vernon 崔韩率 李灿 dino newjeans 鲸 Minji 敏知 金玟池 Hanni 憨妮 范玉欣 Danielle 丹尼尔 haerin 姜海粼 姜谐潾 Hyein 李惠仁 球衣粼 丸子丹 包卡 粼包卡 包卡 敏包卡 丹包卡 憨包卡金敏知 范玉欣 牟智慧丹尼尔 姜海粼 李惠仁 女团小卡 小卡 wvs 包卡蝴蝶紫衣琳耳麦牛仔团封单封蓝书 id 卡 minji 金敏知 hanni 范玉欣 danielle 丹尼尔 haerin 包卡新专 OMG 丸子丹 包卡丹
stayc 朴莳恩 illit 礼 出道专 yunah 卢玩我 minju 朴憨柱 moka 镜萌花 wonhee李沅禧 iroha 外园彩羽 礼专卡 iroha紫版专卡 礼5 紫b5 紫a5 wvs签售
#韩娱跳蚤市场[超话]# 可走平台不tq
kiss of life Single1 KISS OF LIFE 吻单曲专 1st Single Album [Midas Touch]
有好多好多本pb 还有好几本电子专
pb版1种封面，小卡16随2，一本65包邮
电子专一本40包邮
一本pb一本电子专100包
可直拍
❗️在途
❗️谨慎下单，未成年请在家长同意下下单，拍下不接受任何理由退款，如非要退款需支付30％跑单费
偏远地区需要按情况补1-3r邮
tag ：吻妹 吻 KISS OF LIFE natty Haneul 女团 kiss of life专辑 小卡 S2 JULIE julie natty Natty sixteen idol schoo BELLE Annabelle Shim Haneul 女团 kissoflife 朱莉 奶提 贝儿 哈努 小卡 kiss of life 点石成金 KIOF
kiss of life Single1 KISS OF LIFE 吻单曲专 1st Single Album [Midas Touch]
有好多好多本pb 还有好几本电子专
pb版1种封面，小卡16随2，一本65包邮
电子专一本40包邮
一本pb一本电子专100包
可直拍
❗️在途
❗️谨慎下单，未成年请在家长同意下下单，拍下不接受任何理由退款，如非要退款需支付30％跑单费
偏远地区需要按情况补1-3r邮
tag ：吻妹 吻 KISS OF LIFE natty Haneul 女团 kiss of life专辑 小卡 S2 JULIE julie natty Natty sixteen idol schoo BELLE Annabelle Shim Haneul 女团 kissoflife 朱莉 奶提 贝儿 哈努 小卡 kiss of life 点石成金 KIOF
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